Recent news from WorldChanging.comWhere Did We Go Wrong on "Green Jobs"?
I was in a meeting today with some smart folks that got me thinking again about "green jobs," specifically Van Jones' message about the intersection of environmentalism and social justice. They're not polished thoughts, but I thought I'd share them and see what folks think. Ever since Van Jones got essentially lynched by Glenn Beck's teabaggers, I've been wondering why it was so easy to target him, why the green jobs message (which seemed to me at the time uncontroversial) so clearly failed to connect, and why the green jobs conversation in Northern Europe seems to be going so much better. Racism is a correct, but too easy, answer. There's plenty of racism in Europe, too, and not all the people who got riled up to take down Van Jones were racists. There's something more afoot here, I suspect. I think it has to do as well with the form of social justice green jobs came to connote. Part of what appealed to me about Jones' pitch was explicitly the idea that one set of solutions I really care about -- clean energy and green technologies -- might be an answer as well to a different set of problems I also care about, economic injustice and racism in America. Save the planet, give justice to the poor: that's a slam dunk argument to someone like me. I suspect many other progressives felt exactly the same way. But I don't think that's how it played to other people. To other people -- especially working class people in industries whose economic woes have been pinned (mostly dishonestly) on environmentalists -- "green jobs" may not have read "planet/justice" but rather "elitists/welfare." I suspect that for some, green jobs sound like programs for liberal elitists to take money from hardworking people and give it to lazy poor people. For racists, "lazy poor" is also code speak for black, of course, but you don't have to be racist to be a pissed off working person in the U.S. What's different in Northern Europe? Well, in many countries the whole cultural context is different, since the welfare state is so well established that many regular people hear "us" not "them" when social programs are mentioned. But there's something else that's very different. Most of the time when I've heard the environment and employment being discussed in Europe, it's in the context of economic development, industrial strategy, progress. I've heard leaders talking about country X moving forward to be a front-runner in wind power, or smart grid technology, or green building expertise and how that will drive prosperity, business growth and new jobs. The emphasis is put on how bright green industries will benefit the entire nation or region or even Europe as whole, rather than a specific social class. Environmentalists in the U.S. use "green jobs" to mean that, too, but I don't think that meaning's stuck. In fact, that usage may have actually helped undermine some of the message of prosperity-through-sustainability that we've tried to put forward, attaching instead the idea of social redistribution. I suspect that for much of America, the idea "wind power will generate green jobs" now carries some negative connotations. It may be that what we need is a completely different message. Jobs are no doubt a part of that message, but I suspect emphasizing skilled work, the trades, American productivity and putting it in a context of rapid technological shifts and international competition is probably more the way to go. Some people are already doing some good work there. But we may need to go farther. We have a strong argument to make that dirty energy and out-dated industries aren't just planet-killers, they're millstones around the neck of the American economy, dragging it under. I think acknowledging the conflict between old gray industrial America, and new bright green post-industrial America and being clear which is better for more people is a winning strategy. If we move forward quickly into a bright green future, most people will benefit from the prosperity we'll create (and we'll save the planet). It's not jobs vs. the environment, it's dying jobs vs. thriving jobs. That's an argument we can win in middle America. I'd really, really like to think that the call for social justice that made "green jobs" so attractive to a lot of us can still be a central part of the story we're trying to tell, but here's the thing: I'm not sure that's true, and I feel pretty strongly in my gut that if we are going to be successful at weaving social justice into the strategy, it'll unfortunately be by staying clear of the phrase "green jobs" altogether. And that bums me out, to be honest. I want the things I fight for to address the wrongs in this country, and the world. I'd rather not be put in a position of having to advocate indirectly for righting those wrongs. But the only direct articulation of the connection we have may be doing more harm than good now. I may be totally wrong, and I may not be explaining myself very well (though it's the very end of the day Friday, so this will have to do), but this is how it seems to me. We absolutely should lay claim to being the party of the future, but we may need to find new ways to put forward our social justice goals. How do you see it? How would you explain the possibilities of sustainable prosperity? How do you see social justice fitting into those possibilities? Can "green jobs" be rehabilitated? Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Steffen in Bright Green Economy at 6:12 PM) PermaCorps, Haiti: Sustainable Disaster Relief pt.2
Responding to disasters requires doing a lot with a little as quickly as possible. After my post on the use of solar power as part of the Haitian recovery, a few readers pointed me to aid efforts that are using permaculture techniques to meet pressing demands for clean water, food and shelter. There is even talk of creating a permaculture relief corp: the "PermaCorps." Disaster Response This piece originally appeared on Alex Aylett's blog, OpenAlex Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Aylett in Refugees and Relief at 11:56 AM) Why Our Bright Green Futures Will Be Weirder Than We Think
I've been thinking about how weird the future is getting. One of the most creatively interesting aspects of zero impact as a goal is the way in which it transforms our understanding of many of the "solutions" now on the table. When we see our goal as eliminating our ecological impact -- or at least eliminating any impact beyond a globally equitable share of the total impact the planet can absorb (for climate, that appears to work out to about one metric ton of CO2 per person per year, for instance) -- and we're committed to achieving that in a set time frame (like, now, or 20 years, or 40 years), we have to judge the steps we take in a new light. Some solutions that sound great fail to be able to deliver sufficient change quickly enough to be very important. Others deliver change -- perhaps even lots of change -- but are dead-end paths: beyond a certain point, they can deliver no more benefit, and they also don't make the next solution set any easier. Still others may offer some level of benefit but actually impede progress beyond that level, to the point of being harmful distractions. It's not at all clear that every little bit helps: some solutions can get in the way. A few thought-experiment examples, in the context of climate change: 1) Local food. Given that a fairly small percentage of the actual carbon footprint of food comes from transportation, emphasizing local food is not a very important solution, in terms of lowering our climate impacts. Indeed, in some cases, less efficient local production means that local food actually can come with a higher carbon footprint than imported food. There are other excellent reasons for buying local (like protecting your foodshed), but a world of people eating local food would still be melting the ice caps. 2) Electric cars. Electric cars are clearly better than gas-burners, no matter what kind of gas they burn. Electric cars are inherently more efficient, getting as much as four times more mobility out of the same amount of energy. If that energy is wind, solar or hydro, their driving emissions are very, very low (not zero, because clean energy is not completely zero-impact itself). The hitch is that the problem with cars isn't just what's under the hood: it's everything, from manufacturing, maintenance and disposal, to the entire system of infrastructure they demand and the social/environmental effects of auto-dependence on our towns and cities. By some rough reckonings, even cars that are produce no emissions still have about 2/3 the total systemic lifecycle impacts of internal combustion vehicles. Cutting one third of our auto-related emissions is still a big win, but it's a long way from zero. And it's not at all clear that driving electric cars helps us make the larger transitions (towards walkable transit-oriented development, for instance), that zero-impact cities clearly demand. Electric cars may (or may not) be a critical stop-gap technology, but that doesn't make them a transformative one. 3) Clean coal. Coal plant carbon capture and storage/sequestration (CCS) may or may not reduce CO2 emissions from coal plants (it's still an unproven technology). But even if it does, it will only reduce, not eliminate, the impacts of coal-burning; worse, it gives political cover to dirty coal power today, and helps keep in place massive coal subsidies around the world, making it tougher for clean energy solutions to compete fairly in the marketplace. I'd argue that investments in CCS may reduce emissions somewhat, but actually make getting to zero less likely. Targeting zero, or any other ambitious-but-necessary goal, forces us into direct, uncomfortable contact with the degree of unsustainability manifest in nearly every system around us. Zero slams us right up against the reality that the Swap won't work. Neither will any other solution we're familiar with. The conventional human responses -- relocalism (draw in, bunker down, look to survival, plan for community in the aftermath) and nostalgic retreat (embrace a return to some vision of pre-post-industrial society; go back to a time when, we imagine, things were more sustainable, or more, if you're a fundamentalist, more righteous) -- are both completely understandable, but they're forlorn hopes. I've explained why we know this in great detail elsewhere. The world we need is one we've never yet seen. That's terrifying for many people, but it can also be exhilarating: though it is true that the sort of solutions we need are probably non-intuitive, radically innovative, downright weird, that also means that we have an opportunity to re-examine the broken fundamentals of our current model of prosperity and redesign them. We could well end up, yet, with a future that is far better than our present. If we do end up with a bright green future, it will not look like today's world, but with light rail, gardens and solar panels slapped on top (it may include all those things, but those things are nowhere near enough by themselves). It's already emerging as very different than the Futurama fantasy of cars full of happy consumerist nuclear families driving through gleaming modernist landscapes; Futurama plus green roofs will not do. The new urban landscape we're building will by necessity need to be structurally different than suburban modernism, but the biggest changes may be not in the physical systems, but in the cultures and economies that birth them. The weirdest thing about a bright green future may even be how different we ourselves are, once we get there. Indeed, I've often paraphrased Bucky Fuller that we shouldn't aim for beautiful solutions, but if our solutions aren't beautiful once we've found them, they're probably not fully developed. Now I think as well that if our solutions aren't really weird, they're probably not ambitious enough. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Steffen in Sustainable Design at 10:49 AM) Vote Today and Help Us Win $5K!Just by clicking a button, you can help us win a $5,000 grant from Brighter Planet. Worldchanging's project proposal, Advocate for Climate Neutral Cities, has just been accepted for Brighter Planet's Project Fund, which provides seed money for people and projects working to help others fight or adapt to climate change. Our idea to create a climate neutral cities mini-magazine is one of nine projects up for the grant money. Brighter Planet members decide—as a community—which projects to fund. The project with the most votes at the close of a voting period receives the grant. Join today to cast your vote for Advocate for Climate Neutral Cities. PLEASE HELP US BY TAKING ONE MINUTE TO VOTE STEP 1: Click here to create an account Each member has three votes. Obviously, we'd love for you to use all three votes on us. For more information on Brighter Planet's Project Fund, watch this video: Microgrants for Climate Projects from Brighter Planet on Vimeo.
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Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by WorldChanging Team in Features at 4:27 PM) Walkable Neighborhoods Key to Stable Real Estate Says New NRDC ReportBig, red 'For Sale' signs flapping in the wind are the tumble weeds of the 21 century. Signaling emptiness and recent catastrophe, these markers of market disaster are said to have proliferated because of predatory lending and lax standards. But a new report from the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) shows another cause of the rapid foreclosure rate: car dependency. Looking at data from more than 40,000 mortgages throughout Chicago, San Francisco and Jacksonville, Fla., the researchers behind the Location Efficiency and Mortgage Default report found that the rate of mortgage foreclosure actually decreased in neighborhoods that were more compact, walkable and connected to public transportation (after accounting for important factors like income). According to a recent NRDC release: "The effect of location efficiency is clear when comparing foreclosure probabilities for two homebuyers with exactly the same profile in terms of credit score, debt-to-income ratio, and loan-to-value ratio in differing neighborhoods. The research shows that the buyer in the more location efficient area will be less likely to default. (For a dollar and cents example, check this blog post.)" Able to be less reliant on their cars, people living in walkable, connected neighborhoods had the flexibility to save money on transportation -- a household expense that can be more than 17 percent of American homeowners' total costs. To create stability in the real estate sector, the link between transportation costs and foreclosure rates needs to be addressed, say the experts at the NRDC. The report strongly focused on 'location efficiency' as a way to create this stability. Location efficiency is a phrase that describes how easy it is to live in your neighborhood without a car. If it's easy for you to walk to work, places of interest, grocery stores or the bus stop, then your house is highly location efficient. NRDC researchers say that understanding this concept will be key to predicting mortgage performance and could be a helpful new tool for addressing the continuing mortgage default problem. Some people get why compact, walkable cities make sense in an instant; others need some convincing. That's why quality research like this, that backs up big picture thinking on bright green cities, is important. Research like this helps people stand up and say no to proposals for more roads and parking lots, and helps others realize that spending more money to live in the city center equals money well spent. Now to get policy that reflects this and politicians who support it. But that will take political will.
Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Sarah Kuck in Features at 4:17 PM) Local Stock Exchanges and Micro-Equity Investments
Over on Small-Mart: Ideas and Tools for Building Healthy Local Economies, economist Michael Shuman is talking about a different way to stimulate the U.S. economy: local stock exchanges and micro-equity investments. In his article, Local Stock Exchanges and National Stimulus, Shuman makes the case for reforming old laws that could open up local businesses to local investors. Outdated federal securities laws have left Main Street dangerously dependent on Wall Street, and overhauling them may well be a key to economic revitalization. The good news is the local businesses could get a huge investment boost with some modest securities reforms that would cost little or nothing. It's a thorough piece that does an excellent job of explaining why and how local stock exchanges might work, and why they don't exist today. For more thoughts on how the U.S. can nurture local economies and micro-equity, head to Small-Mart.org.
Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Sarah Kuck in Bright Green Economy at 3:20 PM) Re-seeing the WaterfrontSeattle is in the midst of a fierce debate about the future of its waterfront. It's aging seawall needs to be replaced, a project the Mayor wants to take to the voters in a $241 million ballot measure. An elevated freeway -- the Viaduct -- that currently runs along the waterfront is structurally unsafe, and Seattle's in the middle a long battle about whether and how to replace it, with the Governor currently favoring a deep-bore tunnel for a bypass freeway and others favoring switching to a model based on transit and the existing street grid instead. Several major upcoming projects at the Port of Seattle will remake the waterfront as well. On top of all this, rising seas are going to demand that extensive protective measures be built all along Seattle's shorelines in order to protect low-lying areas from floods during storms and high tides. So, Seattle's going to be redefining its connection to the ocean, like many other coastal cities (just more so). Done really wrong, vast amounts of money will be wasted on infrastructure and development not resilient enough to handle the stormy century ahead. Even done "right" though, the sea walls and flood defenses we need could end up cutting the people of Seattle off from the sea on whose shores we live, while worsening the already serious ecological plight of Puget Sound. One frequently proposed answer is building "soft" coastlines and habitat at today's sea level: building rising beaches and planting sea grass and other restoration efforts. This may not be smart, given what we know about sea level rise and its risks: it may neither provide the long-term protections we need or the climate-adaptive restoration that reality demands. At the same time, we do want to reconnect with the ocean as maritime people, so we don't want a coastal Berlin Wall either. Whether that connection demands recreated salmon habitat we know is doomed to be submerged in short order, well, I don't think so. But we could get more creative. We could use the entire waterfront as a sort of giant window into the marine world, providing observable flows (rainwater running off through green infrastructure, for instance) tools for making visible the invisible (art projects that illuminate data pulled from sensors, like the work Sabrina Raaf does, or a walking trail that follows the life cycle of salmon, or some sort of urban habitat wildlife encounter project (ala Natalie Jeremijenko) and efforts to flow the ecological reality underfoot into the augmented reality that is becoming urban life (imagine that every time an augmented view screen turned towards the sound, it revealed news about the seasonal life beneath the ocean's surface, or that every sewer drain carried a tag about where its overflow dumped into the Bay). Perhaps, even, residents could in some way "play" the waterfront, helping different visions of our shoreline emerge through their actions and attention. Some will say that we need that shoreline to be habitat, but I think efforts to make cities behave like nature can be misguided. The vast majority of a city's impact happens outside its city limits, and often far more good can be done by changing a city's footprint than trying to change its physical structure. I think a city full of citizens more deeply connected culturally to the waters of their home place is a much bigger win than a few hundred yards of incredibly expensive artificial habitat. Though perhaps you can have both. The point being that we may be thinking both too literally about ecological connection and too timidly about climate adaption, and any real answer to both may demand that we change as much in our heads as at the water's edge. (image: creative commons, Beaster) Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Steffen in Biodiversity and Ecosystems at 3:15 PM) My Favorite Neighborhood
A rousing success story that shows how great streets foster great communities Last year Project for Public Spaces and I published the Great Neighborhood Book, which offers hundreds of ideas from around the world about making community improvements on issues ranging from crime prevention to environmental restoration. Since then almost everyone I meet asks: What's your favorite neighborhood? I should have an answer ready. But each time the question arises, my mind starts wandering through the great places I've explored through the years. Is it the Plateau neighborhood in Montreal, where I became infatuated with cities years ago as a college student? Maybe Trastevere, the old bohemian quarter of Rome my wife Julie and I visited as newlyweds? Or what about Harter Heights, which I enjoyed strolling through recently on a trip to South Bend, Indiana? To settle the matter once and for all, I wrote up a list of all the wonderful corners of the urban world I've had the pleasure of visiting. Then, with great deliberation, I began to cross off names until only Jacobsburg remained. It is, in my opinion, is the finest neighborhood in America. To keep the suspense going, I will let you figure out the surprising city where Jacobsburg is located. But here are the things I love about it. Bustling 19th Street in Jacobsburg-- one of the best streets in one of the best neighborhoods in America.Jacobsburg grew up slowly in a variety of architectural styles between 1890, when streetcars first reached this wooded spot along the river, and 1920, when the boom in automobile sales opened up distant suburban tracts for development. Buses now ply streets where rails once ran, but the corner business districts that popped up to serve trolley riders are still the heart of the community. Butcher shops and haberdasheries, however, have now given way to ethnic eateries and vintage clothing shops. One of the traits I most admire about Jacobsburg is a knack for being quaintly old-fashioned and au courant cosmopolitan at the same time. At one of my favorite streetcorners in the world, 19th St. and Holly Avenue, a delicatessen run by an old guy named Rocco and his son Gus looks out across the intersection at a high-fashion coffeeshop with fair trade beans from 14 countries and the best selection of design magazines this side of Tokyo. On the other two corners sit the Mogadishu Star, a Somali restaurant, and Krazy Kat Komics, a used and rare comic book store. Within a few steps you'll come across a Reconstructionist synagogue, the largest fan belt dealer in the state, a Carnegie library, a Caribbean seafood restaurant once written up in Food + Wine magazine and a laundromat made famous in an R&B song. Years ago, the neighborhood was an Eastern European enclave with a sprinkling of Jamaicans who first came to the area as farm laborers during World War II. Today it is a veritable United Nations, thanks in part to the nearby college whose diverse student body keeps the streets lively all day and most of the night. What do I like most about Jacobsburg? Well, I could mention plentiful trees shading the sidewalks or the pleasing sequence of three-and four-story buildings with front stoops where people sit out to socialize on warm evenings. Then there's the newly refurbished Riverwood park (which everyone says was designed by Frederick Law Olmsted, but wasn't) with a swan pond, skateboard ramps, a weekend farmers' market, summer band concerts and a café with better pastry than you'll find in Copenhagen. And how could I ignore the invincible spirit of neighborliness, apparent even to a casual visitor? Current residents explain that the neighborhood set aside its own ethnic tensions in the 1960s and came together to fight a freeway that would have essentially leveled the place. That sense of civic engagement endures to this day. The local business association sponsors an annual Spring Festival with a 30-foot maypole in the playground of St. Stanislaus School. Meanwhile a VFW Post, a commedia dell'Arte theatre troupe, a Baptist congregation, a Mexican motorcycle club and a gay men's chorus are among the dozens of local organizations that collaborate to raise money for the neighborhood food shelf. But if forced to name one thing that makes this neighborhood so great, I would have to say it's the streets. That sounds prosaic, I know-how can mere asphalt compete with Rocco's famous Ukrainian sausage or the boysenberry-fig Danish at the Parkview Café? Please let me explain. The streets of Jacobsburg-thanks to far-sighted urban planning at the turn of the 20th century and lots of vigilant neighborhood activism ever since-are places for people more than conduits for cars. From my first visit in the early 1990s, I remember being amazed at how liberating it felt walking the streets in a place where pedestrians take priority over automobiles. Nineteenth Street, like busy streets all around the country, was widened in the 1970s. But after two kids were killed by speeding cars on successive Saturdays, the neighborhood rose up demanding that the road be scaled back to two lanes. It took twelve years, but City Hall finally agreed and the whole area soon blossomed into a favorite destination for visitors from all over town. They come to browse shops, dine in restaurants, drink beer, tour art galleries, see shows at the clubs, but most of all to simply be part of the crowd strolling up and down the sidewalks. This popularity means the streets carry a lot of traffic in both cars and buses, but not at the expense of pedestrians. Careful attention has been paid to make walking a pleasurable activity. The sidewalks are wide enough to function almost as town squares, so you'll find sidewalk cafes, whimsical sculpture, flower patches, buskers and plenty of benches to sit down for a conversation. Parking is scarce but that's not been a deterrent to ever-growing economic vitality. Residents generally walk or bike around the neighborhood, and motorists are willing to park some distance away since the side streets are both safe and interesting, thanks to the heavy foot traffic. A new transit line connecting Jacobsburg to the university and downtown has become the preferred way for many folks to arrive. Bike trails proliferating across the city are also helping lighten the traffic load. One last thing I want to mention about Jacobsburg is the wealth of great pubs, which live up to an older sense of the word -- meaning "public house" -- rather than the current definition as "a place to drink." Families encompassing three generations can be found in the booths at corner taverns like The White Eagle or Syl & Mary's eating supper right alongside laborers celebrating quitting time and students commemorating the end of another day of classes. The great majority of these pubs share a virtue that English novelist George Orwell described as "quiet enough to talk," in a 1946 essay about his favorite London pub, The Moon Under Water. But The Moon Under the Water existed only in Orwell's imagination, a composite of the qualities he found in pubs across England. And the same is true of Jacobsburg, a neighborhood that I dreamed up out of wonderful experiences I've had on the streets of many American cities. I named it after urbanist visionary Jane Jacobs. Holly Avenue honors William H. (Holly) Whyte, the far-sighted champion of public spaces whose work inspired Project for Public Spaces. The photo you see is actually Chapel Street in New Haven, Connecticut, which was 95 percent abandoned in the 1980s but sprang back to life after developer Joel Schiavone convinced the city to undo an earlier street widening. But rather than being uselessly Utopian, I see Jacobsburg as the future that's possible for neighborhoods everywhere as people work to create great streets and public spaces in our communities. We would love to hear your thoughts on the best real neighborhood. Nominate your favorite neighborhood online at PPS's Great Public Spaces page. This piece originally appeared on The Project for Public Spaces Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Jay Walljasper in Community at 1:57 PM) The Seattle Talks
In November, shortly before heading off to COP-15, Alex Steffen spoke for two nights at Seattle's Town Hall. Over the course of these two talks, Alex explored why the planetary crisis we now face demands a different vision of sustainable prosperity - a bright green future in which sustainability becomes the means through which we provide increased prosperity, security and quality of life for every person on the planet. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by WorldChanging Team in Features at 10:30 AM) Jane McGonigal on Gaming for GoodA Worldchanging Interview
McGonigal brings to the task both academic credentials (Ph.D. in performance studies from U.C. Berkeley) and veteran gamer instincts (as a kid, she hacked games on the Commodore 64). As director of game research and development for the Institute for the Future in Palo Alto, Calif., she frequently collaborates with global partners on game development. Her new book, Reality is Broken: Why Games Make Us Happy and How They Can Change the World, will be published later this year by Penguin. I caught up with McGonigal by phone as she was putting the finishing touches on her latest project. EVOKE, which she is developing for the World Bank Institute, promises to deliver “a crash course in changing the world” when it launches in March. Suzie Boss: For the uninitiated, what are alternate reality games? Jane McGonigal: When people think of computer or video games, they often think of playing in a virtual world that doesn’t exist in reality. But alternate reality game designers are trying to get people to play in the real world. We want people to bring the same curiosity, wonder, and optimism that you feel when in your favorite video games into your real lives and real problems. SB: Your games sound pretty different from commercial products like World of Warcraft. JM: There are two big distinctions. First, alternate reality games are not in a virtual environment. They’re built on top of social networks, so we use ordinary online tools like online video, blogs, wikis, and being part of a network. It’s not about graphics and avatars. Second, it’s real play and not role play. You don’t adopt a fictional personality. You play as yourself. SB: Do your games actually change how people act in real life? JM: CryptoZoo is a good example of a game oriented to changing your everyday behavior. I developed it for the American Heart Association with the mission of changing the way people think about physical activity. Right now, many of us think of physical activity as requiring you to carve out an hour and changing into your gym clothes. You think you have to go to a special place to sweat. It feels separate from our everyday lives and not integrated into what we do when we’re hanging out with our friends. CryptoZoo inspires people to say, let’s be active for the next five minutes. We teach people to see real streets, real parks, real physical environments as opportunities for playing the game. SB: How does it work? JM: CryptoZoo is about chasing these imaginary, bigfoot-like creatures called cryptids. Each cryptid runs in a distinct way. It has specific style of interacting with the environment. Summit monkeys, for instance, swing around any poles they see and run up and down steps. Slaminas run backwards, without stepping on any cracks. (The website includes field reports that describe creatures’ behaviors, along with videos created by players.) So if you’re walking down the street and notice telephone poles and a staircase at city hall, you might say, “Let’s chase the summit monkeys through this block.” SB: Has CryptoZoo gotten people moving? JM: That’s the cool thing. Gamer-type people do not necessarily see themselves as athletic. So when we’ve organized CryptoZoo events—such as a late-night cryptid chase through Manhattan at the Come Out and Play Festival—we gather data. At the start, only one in eight people considered themselves athletic. But just from playing the game, they ran more than a mile. They were sweating. Their heart rates were up. These were the same people who had said earlier, “I hate running. That’s not what I do.” But then they did it. It was transformative. The experience changes the way people see themselves. Games are really good at showing us that we’re capable of more than we thought. SB: Is there more going on here than old-fashioned play? JM: A lot of people are interested in play. I’m more interested in game play. And here’s the difference: Play is exploratory, open-ended, improvisational. It’s very free. All animals play. Game play is different. It’s outcome-oriented, goal-oriented, and structured. Humans are the only species we know of that comes together to structure an experience where we all understand the rules and work toward the same goal. In fact, cognitive scientists now define the ability to play a game as the distinguishing cognitive trait of the human brain. People have been playing games as long as we’ve had civilization. As I explain in my book, the earliest dice games were played during times of famine. Whole societies would come together and play these games as a way to diminish their suffering and create social resilience. I interpret that history to mean that games are a way to get massively many people to rally around a common goal. SB: And that brings us to EVOKE, your new massively multiplayer change-the-world game. Give us a preview. JM: EVOKE is about rallying as many people as possible around social innovation goals. The goal is to build up our global capacity to change the world in as short a time as possible, for as many people as possible. I call it a crash course in changing the world. Every week for 10 weeks (starting March 3), there’s going to be a new episode about social innovators working out of Africa. They travel around the world solving epic crises, like food shortages or power outages in major cities. (Game narrative is a graphic novel written by Kiyash Monsef, McGonigal’s husband, with illustrations by Jacob Glaser. Players take on three missions each week. They learn—basically, filling their brain with information about the topic. They act—doing something in real life to implement what they’ve learned. And they imagine. What could they do about this problem today if they had a team, money, and resources? That’s what social innovation is all about—scaling up local solutions to make big, sustainable solutions that can spread. The first week, the episode is about a scenario 10 years from today when there’s a major famine in Tokyo. Players learn about the issue of food security. They do something in real life to increase the food security of at least one person they know. And then they imagine a bigger solution. Meanwhile, real experts (from the field of social innovation, World Bank Institute, and other domains) are watching, mentoring, and giving feedback. At the end of the game, we’ll set up year-long mentorship for people who have ideas. They’ll get support to develop their ventures. We want the game to be a springboard to real action. SB: Who do you hope will play? JM: Young people in Africa are our ideal audience. We’re working with universities throughout Africa to get the game into classrooms. Then there’s a wider audience of people anywhere in the world, but especially in areas of high poverty where there’s an urgent need for social innovation. I’m imagining mostly young adults—under 35 (although there’s no age limit). Finally, there’s a third level. And that’s anybody who knows anything and is willing to funnel that knowledge toward people who can do a lot of good with it. They can participate as a mentor or ally. By coming once a week and spending 15 minutes, they can offer players attention, positive feedback, and ideas. The idea is to create a critical mass of engagement and attention so we have a big swarm of people who come and do something together. SB: What sort of numbers are you hoping for? JM: If we could get 50 students in Africa to work their way through the entire game, and get to the point where they have a social enterprise ready to pitch, that’s a huge win. That would be fantastic. Then, I always set a lucky number for people who feel that their life is transformed by the game. They’ll spend enough time participating so that the rest of the work they do afterward is influenced by their new powers, new capabilities, and new allies. My magic number is 1,100. Beyond that, I’d love to see 10,000 people signed up and participating. SB: I notice you sometimes use superhero lingo when you talk about games (i.e., developing “new powers”). Is that deliberate? JM: Anytime you work really hard at something you care about, you do develop strengths and abilities. That’s how we humans learn. With games, the level of emotional engagement is so intense. With the bigger games I’ve designed, people play them like a full-time job, sometimes for 40 hours a week. When you put that much time in—and you do it because you love it—you’re going beyond normal learning or normal skill acquisition into the world of superpowers. It’s heroic effort, and you wind up with all these great attributes and assets. SB: Where did your own passion for gaming come from? JM: I was a computer geek growing up, hacking my own games on the Commodore 64. But I never thought of gaming as a viable career path. Then when the first-person-shooter genre came out, I fell out of gaming for a while. My brain doesn’t enjoy that. Meanwhile, toward the end of college, I worked in parks and recreation in New York. We put on big game festivals at parks and schools, and I saw the power of games to bring people together and create community. Those were athletic, playground-type games. Once that became possible to do with technology—with all the narrative and interaction of computer games—that was an exciting moment. SB: Recently, you blogged about how you created a game to help you recover from a concussion. What happened? JM: I had a fluke accident last summer and slammed my head into a cabinet door. I was in the middle of working on my book and suddenly, I was in this fog. If I tried to read or write, my brain would basically shut down. This dragged on for weeks. There was no purpose in my days. Everything just stopped. It was bleak. So I started making up a game. The idea was, I’d become this Buffy-the-vampire-slayer-type hero and slay my concussion. I came up with missions and allies so I could get my friends and family to help me. It was a cry for help, and it started to work. I might eventually take it further. SB: Finally, you’ve said you’d like to see the Nobel Peace Prize go to a game designer someday. Why? JM: Games wield enormous power in our culture. They’re controlling the attention and getting the most energy and passion out of many, many people. The commercial gaming industry is our innovation lab. By making games purely for entertainment, we learn more about how to make people happy and how to develop these superpowers. But if you don’t do something real with these powers, it’s a waste. If we’re not developing games that use all that insight and all that powerful technology for good, it’s a big, tragic waste. So, my benchmark for the games I want to help create is that they should only be games that serve a humanitarian purpose, that give people a chance to tackle urgent problems like poverty, that lead to world peace. These are big human goals that I think games are capable of tackling.
Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Suzie Boss in Features at 10:04 AM) Jane McGonigal on Gaming for GoodA Worldchanging Interview
McGonigal brings to the task both academic credentials (Ph.D. in performance studies from U.C. Berkeley) and veteran gamer instincts (as a kid, she hacked games on the Commodore 64). As director of game research and development for the Institute for the Future in Palo Alto, Calif., she frequently collaborates with global partners on game development. Her new book, Reality is Broken: Why Games Make Us Happy and How They Can Change the World, will be published later this year by Penguin. I caught up with McGonigal by phone as she was putting the finishing touches on her latest project. EVOKE, which she is developing for the World Bank Institute, promises to deliver “a crash course in changing the world” when it launches in March. Suzie Boss: For the uninitiated, what are alternate reality games? Jane McGonigal: When people think of computer or video games, they often think of playing in a virtual world that doesn’t exist in reality. But alternate reality game designers are trying to get people to play in the real world. We want people to bring the same curiosity, wonder, and optimism that you feel when in your favorite video games into your real lives and real problems. SB: Your games sound pretty different from commercial products like World of Warcraft. JM: There are two big distinctions. First, alternate reality games are not in a virtual environment. They’re built on top of social networks, so we use ordinary online tools like online video, blogs, wikis, and being part of a network. It’s not about graphics and avatars. Second, it’s real play and not role play. You don’t adopt a fictional personality. You play as yourself. SB: Do your games actually change how people act in real life? JM: CryptoZoo is a good example of a game oriented to changing your everyday behavior. I developed it for the American Heart Association with the mission of changing the way people think about physical activity. Right now, many of us think of physical activity as requiring you to carve out an hour and changing into your gym clothes. You think you have to go to a special place to sweat. It feels separate from our everyday lives and not integrated into what we do when we’re hanging out with our friends. CryptoZoo inspires people to say, let’s be active for the next five minutes. We teach people to see real streets, real parks, real physical environments as opportunities for playing the game. SB: How does it work? JM: CryptoZoo is about chasing these imaginary, bigfoot-like creatures called cryptids. Each cryptid runs in a distinct way. It has specific style of interacting with the environment. Summit monkeys, for instance, swing around any poles they see and run up and down steps. Slaminas run backwards, without stepping on any cracks. (The website includes field reports that describe creatures’ behaviors, along with videos created by players.) So if you’re walking down the street and notice telephone poles and a staircase at city hall, you might say, “Let’s chase the summit monkeys through this block.” SB: Has CryptoZoo gotten people moving? JM: That’s the cool thing. Gamer-type people do not necessarily see themselves as athletic. So when we’ve organized CryptoZoo events—such as a late-night cryptid chase through Manhattan at the Come Out and Play Festival—we gather data. At the start, only one in eight people considered themselves athletic. But just from playing the game, they ran more than a mile. They were sweating. Their heart rates were up. These were the same people who had said earlier, “I hate running. That’s not what I do.” But then they did it. It was transformative. The experience changes the way people see themselves. Games are really good at showing us that we’re capable of more than we thought. SB: Is there more going on here than old-fashioned play? JM: A lot of people are interested in play. I’m more interested in game play. And here’s the difference: Play is exploratory, open-ended, improvisational. It’s very free. All animals play. Game play is different. It’s outcome-oriented, goal-oriented, and structured. Humans are the only species we know of that comes together to structure an experience where we all understand the rules and work toward the same goal. In fact, cognitive scientists now define the ability to play a game as the distinguishing cognitive trait of the human brain. People have been playing games as long as we’ve had civilization. As I explain in my book, the earliest dice games were played during times of famine. Whole societies would come together and play these games as a way to diminish their suffering and create social resilience. I interpret that history to mean that games are a way to get massively many people to rally around a common goal. SB: And that brings us to EVOKE, your new massively multiplayer change-the-world game. Give us a preview. JM: EVOKE is about rallying as many people as possible around social innovation goals. The goal is to build up our global capacity to change the world in as short a time as possible, for as many people as possible. I call it a crash course in changing the world. Every week for 10 weeks (starting March 3), there’s going to be a new episode about social innovators working out of Africa. They travel around the world solving epic crises, like food shortages or power outages in major cities. (Game narrative is a graphic novel written by Kiyash Monsef, McGonigal’s husband, with illustrations by Jacob Glaser. Players take on three missions each week. They learn—basically, filling their brain with information about the topic. They act—doing something in real life to implement what they’ve learned. And they imagine. What could they do about this problem today if they had a team, money, and resources? That’s what social innovation is all about—scaling up local solutions to make big, sustainable solutions that can spread. The first week, the episode is about a scenario 10 years from today when there’s a major famine in Tokyo. Players learn about the issue of food security. They do something in real life to increase the food security of at least one person they know. And then they imagine a bigger solution. Meanwhile, real experts (from the field of social innovation, World Bank Institute, and other domains) are watching, mentoring, and giving feedback. At the end of the game, we’ll set up year-long mentorship for people who have ideas. They’ll get support to develop their ventures. We want the game to be a springboard to real action. SB: Who do you hope will play? JM: Young people in Africa are our ideal audience. We’re working with universities throughout Africa to get the game into classrooms. Then there’s a wider audience of people anywhere in the world, but especially in areas of high poverty where there’s an urgent need for social innovation. I’m imagining mostly young adults—under 35 (although there’s no age limit). Finally, there’s a third level. And that’s anybody who knows anything and is willing to funnel that knowledge toward people who can do a lot of good with it. They can participate as a mentor or ally. By coming once a week and spending 15 minutes, they can offer players attention, positive feedback, and ideas. The idea is to create a critical mass of engagement and attention so we have a big swarm of people who come and do something together. SB: What sort of numbers are you hoping for? JM: If we could get 50 students in Africa to work their way through the entire game, and get to the point where they have a social enterprise ready to pitch, that’s a huge win. That would be fantastic. Then, I always set a lucky number for people who feel that their life is transformed by the game. They’ll spend enough time participating so that the rest of the work they do afterward is influenced by their new powers, new capabilities, and new allies. My magic number is 1,100. Beyond that, I’d love to see 10,000 people signed up and participating. SB: I notice you sometimes use superhero lingo when you talk about games (i.e., developing “new powers”). Is that deliberate? JM: Anytime you work really hard at something you care about, you do develop strengths and abilities. That’s how we humans learn. With games, the level of emotional engagement is so intense. With the bigger games I’ve designed, people play them like a full-time job, sometimes for 40 hours a week. When you put that much time in—and you do it because you love it—you’re going beyond normal learning or normal skill acquisition into the world of superpowers. It’s heroic effort, and you wind up with all these great attributes and assets. SB: Where did your own passion for gaming come from? JM: I was a computer geek growing up, hacking my own games on the Commodore 64. But I never thought of gaming as a viable career path. Then when the first-person-shooter genre came out, I fell out of gaming for a while. My brain doesn’t enjoy that. Meanwhile, toward the end of college, I worked in parks and recreation in New York. We put on big game festivals at parks and schools, and I saw the power of games to bring people together and create community. Those were athletic, playground-type games. Once that became possible to do with technology—with all the narrative and interaction of computer games—that was an exciting moment. SB: Recently, you blogged about how you created a game to help you recover from a concussion. What happened? JM: I had a fluke accident last summer and slammed my head into a cabinet door. I was in the middle of working on my book and suddenly, I was in this fog. If I tried to read or write, my brain would basically shut down. This dragged on for weeks. There was no purpose in my days. Everything just stopped. It was bleak. So I started making up a game. The idea was, I’d become this Buffy-the-vampire-slayer-type hero and slay my concussion. I came up with missions and allies so I could get my friends and family to help me. It was a cry for help, and it started to work. I might eventually take it further. SB: Finally, you’ve said you’d like to see the Nobel Peace Prize go to a game designer someday. Why? JM: Games wield enormous power in our culture. They’re controlling the attention and getting the most energy and passion out of many, many people. The commercial gaming industry is our innovation lab. By making games purely for entertainment, we learn more about how to make people happy and how to develop these superpowers. But if you don’t do something real with these powers, it’s a waste. If we’re not developing games that use all that insight and all that powerful technology for good, it’s a big, tragic waste. So, my benchmark for the games I want to help create is that they should only be games that serve a humanitarian purpose, that give people a chance to tackle urgent problems like poverty, that lead to world peace. These are big human goals that I think games are capable of tackling.
Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Suzie Boss in Features at 10:04 AM) Get Your Mind Out of the Gutter
Curbing stormwater while trimming the bottom line. by Lisa Stiffler For years, environmentalists have touted "low-impact development" -- letting soil and vegetation soak up heavy rains, rather than channeling storm runoff into gutters and sewers -- as the best solution for stormwater. But as it turns out, LID has picked up a whole host of new fans: smart economists, developers, builders, and government regulators are now singing LID's praises as well. The fundamental principle of low-impact development is that it's better -- both for people's pocketbooks and for streams -- to prevent storm runoff than it is to treat it. That means building green roofs and rain gardens, installing rain barrels and cisterns, and using porous concrete and pavers. The conventional alternative is building an elaborate and expensive system of concrete storm sewers that funnel stormwater, as well as the trash and toxics it picks up, into streams, lakes, and bays. And recent studies from around North America show that the principle has promise: real-world evidence shows that LID is, in fact, a cheaper way to handle stormwater, and it does so without the flooding risk or the damage to marine life, that the conventional approach to stormwater often carries with it. Take, for example, this 2005 study by researchers from the University of Southern California and the University of California, Los Angeles. They point to a previous study, which had estimated that it would cost a whopping $284 billion, and require building 65 drinking-water treatment plants, to clean the filthy torrents streaming off of LA's highways and rooftops. But the researchers concluded that LID, coupled with related strategies, could deal with stormwater in the sprawling metropolis at a cost of $3 billion to $7 billion -- treating stormwater at pennies on the dollar, compared with the conventional approach. Seattle Public Utilities has done some number crunching of its own. The utility found that using LID, or what they call "natural drainage systems," to retrofit streets in need of stormwater treatment that the city spent $325,000 per block, compared to $425,000 if they had built traditional storm-drain-and-pipes infrastructure. A good chunk of that savings likely came from the fact that the LID street has only one sidewalk (this is in a neighborhood that previously had no sidewalks) rather than two. But the comparison doesn't count the many other benefits of LID, including improved property values (thanks to the improved aesthetics of the natural systems) plus the near elimination of runoff. That means no flooding and less dependence on combined-sewer overflows that can dump raw sewage along with stormwater into the sea and rivers (this talk outlines these additional benefits). If you're looking for good examples of smart LID projects, this EPA document is a stormwater solutions throw down. It concludes that, in 11 of the 12 projects studied, LID is the economic winner over conventional strategies. The savings ranged from 15 to 80 percent. Let's take a look: SEA Street Seattle: If you're an LID fan, you already know about SEA Street, or 2nd Avenue Street Edge Alternative. This 2001 literally groundbreaking project was a rebuild of a residential street in which the road was narrowed, some sidewalks removed, and wide ditches called swales built along the pavement to catch runoff. The amount of impervious surfaces were reduced by 18 percent, and the redesign captures nearly all of the runoff according to studies tracking its performance. Plus, it's really pretty with native plants and trees lining the street. It's been replicated in neighborhoods around the city. PROJECT COSTS * For a conventional retrofit: $868,803
Rain gardens typically look like traditional landscaping, but can include planted depressions that are lined with layers of gravel and porous soil. Sometimes the depression can contain a drain that leads into traditional stormwater infrastructure to accommodate unusually heavy rains. PROJECT COSTS * For vaults: $80,400
PROJECT COSTS * For a conventional retrofit: $364,000
So Portland is opting for a program that pays homeowners $53 for each downspout it disconnects from the stormwater system. Instead, the water flows into rain barrels or the home's yard. More than 50,000 downspouts have been disconnected, channeling more than 1.2 billion gallons of water out of the CSO system. PROJECT COSTS (based on numbers provided for the EPA's December 2007 study by which time there had been 44,000 downspouts disconnected) * For added capacity to CSO: $250 million If you want some more examples, the Puget Sound Action Team (now the Partnership for Puget Sound) published "Natural Approaches to Stormwater Management" a few years back. It's a great document providing dozens of case studies showing LID in action from around BC and Washington. I could go on, but you get the idea. LID is smart for the pocketbook, and the only answer for the built environment.
Green roof photo from Rob Harrison under the Creative Commons license. This piece originally appeared on The Sightline Institute's blog, The Daily Score Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by WorldChanging Team in Green Building at 3:52 PM) Smarter Planet, the Swap and the Surrealism of Now
We're deep in editorial work right now, in case you were wondering about the comparative radio silence. But here's a quick rant to chew on. While I was taking a break from writing about cities of the future, a friend sent me Jon Hiskes' post about the new Smarter Planet site and asked me what I thought about yet another site that seems to pick up on Worldchanging's solutions-based, future-focused vibe. I've gotten more than a little jaded about the uptake of green techie futurism in the media. See, I've covered sustainability since 1990, and so I know that what was the next wave of green ideas then (hybrids, energy-saving appliances and CFLs, biofuels) is still "hot" now. Widespread media uptake of 90s green ideas would be great, if those ideas were not now woefully insufficient. Many of these ideas are still being presented as support for the idea that we can conveniently retrofit North American 20th Century suburban life for the 21st Century. We still see hundreds of stories a day promoting the Swap -- the idea that we can change the components of suburban, high-consumption, auto-dependent lives without have to change the nature of those lives -- but that idea itself is non-reality-based. Feedback loops, near-exponential curves, accumulated damage (and better science) mean that the magnitude of change we need has grown, while our idea of "going green" hasn't. We're still talking about hybrids, back yard gardening and energy retrofits and so on like they'll transform the half of N. America that's suburban into something that's not both ecologically catastrophic and profoundly brittle in the face of change. They can't. The Swap won't work. Unless it's part of a larger transformation, it won't even help much. But the idea we that can swap the parts and keep the form is a necessary fiction: otherwise, business as usual would be seen (correctly) as a series of crimes against the future. Building a new freeway now, with what we know, is crossing the line from stupid to evil, but as long as we believe electric cars will somehow transform the whole system, we can pretend it's sensible and realistic. The worst thing is that the need for change is accelerating. Smart places that in next 20 years undergo the kind of rate of innovation we've seen in the last 100 years, we'll call bright green. The others, we'll call disaster zones. I don't think this is a good thing. The one bright shining note in all this is that our capacity to innovate and invent is now profoundly greater than it's ever been. The number of people working on envisioning practical, adaptive yet transformative solutions to the problems of cities is mushrooming; and many take for granted that they'll have to work against the economic grain. It's thrilling to be even a small part of the brave, creative work they're doing. The somber bass note underneath it is that there's no sign our political leadership is willing to risk much of anything to try to change the subsidies, tax laws and old regulations that have America and Canada building lots more of the problem, and almost none of the solution. The tide is still flowing strongly against progress. So we live suspended in a surreal now, where the vast majority of media coverage is focused on the (irrelevant) Swap, our political systems are rusted into position (trying to keep cars, coal and cul-de-sacs going as long as possible) and yet the exploration of bright green cities has never been more exciting or the people exploring them more energized. I've learned that whenever you see a small group of really smart people with strong track records doing something everyone else thinks is crazy, it's either a sign that they've all drank the Kool-Aid or that a big, worldchanging shift is coming, and I haven't seen any paper cups being passed out. In fact, bright green urbanists I've met are some of the most hard-headed, practical-minded people around. I don't think anyone underestimates the challenges we face. They're just determined to succeed anyway, by treating those challenges as design constraints and innovating around them. That's the thing that makes me most hopeful. Clear-eyed optimism is never a bad stance towards the future. I have to get back to work. More soon... Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Steffen in Cities at 1:33 PM) Solar Recovery In Haiti: Building Tough Solar Cities
Last week's quake cut electricity to most of Haiti's capital. Without power, residents and aid workers are struggling to maintain basic communication, lighting and water purification systems. CBC News had reports of officials queuing to recharge their mobile phones. What power there is comes from gas powered generators, but diesel is running low. In the aftermath of the quake, Reuters reported that at night the only lights visible over the city came from solar powered traffic signals. Now there is a push to roll out more solar. But beyond the emergency, renewables are key to making cities more resilient to natural disasters. Solar in the Recovery Sol Inc, a US-based solar street lighting company, has sent a first shipment of lights for roadways, food distribution, and triage sites. This may sound mundane, until you imagine trying to perform street-side surgery or find family members in the dark. The LED lights can also withstand hurricane force winds – no small thing in a country that has also recently been hit by tropical cyclones. Sol Inc has promised to match donations for people wanting to contribute to the program. Communications are another crucial need being met by solar. China's ZTE corporation has donated 1,500 solar cellphones and 300 digital trunking base stations. The same technology was used in China when an earthquake hit the Sichuan Province in May of 2008. A similar project is being set up by a group from Holland. Renewable energy in Haiti is not a new. Walt Ratterman, CEO of non-profit SunEnergy Power International was working on the electrification of Haitian hospitals at the time of the quake. He is currently still missing. Sun Ovens, another non-profit, has been working in Haiti for 11 years. Their solar ovens can bake, roast, boil and steam meals. They also give families an alternative to charcoal which is both costly and the root cause of much of Haiti's deforestation. They currently have one commercial-sized oven already up an running in Port-au-Prince capable of cooking 1,200 meals a day. A larger shipment will be sent out at the end of the month and they too are accepting donations. Building Tough Solar Cities As the rebuilding beings, expanding the role of renewables in Haiti could make it more resistant to the impacts of future natural disasters than many of its African neighbors. It would also be an affordable way to increase access in a country where -- even before the quake -- only 25 percent of the population had regular access to electricity. All cities are vulnerable to the disruption of a centralized energy grid. Think New Orleans, or the 1998 Ice Stom in Quebec that left Canadian families without power for weeks in sub-freezing temperatures. "Real" Electricity As well as helping in any way possible, now is a good time for us to start thinking about the ways that renewable energy could make our cities more resilient to similar disasters. Image credit: ">National Geographic This piece originally appeared on Alex Aylett's blog, OpenAlex Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Aylett in Refugees and Relief at 1:25 PM) Bracing for a Century of Rising Seas
As governments, businesses, and homeowners plan for the future, they should assume that the world’s oceans will rise by at least two meters — roughly seven feet — this century. But far too few agencies or individuals are preparing for the inevitable increase in sea level that will take place as polar ice sheets melt. by Rob Young and Orrin Pilkey The reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are balanced and comprehensive documents summarizing the impact of global warming on the planet. But they are not without imperfections, and one of the most notable was the analysis of future sea level rise contained in the latest report, issued in 2007. Given the complexities of forecasting how much the melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets will contribute to increases in global sea level, the IPCC chose not to include these giant ice masses in their calculations, thus ignoring what is likely to be the most important source of sea level rise in the 21st century. Arguing that too little was understood about ice sheet collapse to construct a mathematical model upon which even a rough estimate could be based, the IPCC came up with sea level predictions using thermal expansion of the oceans and melting of mountain glaciers outside the poles. Its results were predictably conservative — a maximum of a two-foot rise this century — and were even a foot lower than an earlier IPCC report that factored in some melting of Greenland’s ice sheet. The IPCC’s 2007 sea level calculations — widely recognized by the academic community as a critical flaw in the report — have caused confusion among many in the general public and the media and have created fodder for global warming skeptics. But there should be no confusion about the serious threat posed by rising sea levels, especially as evidence has mounted in the past two years of the accelerated pace of melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets. The message for the world’s leaders and decision makers is that sea level rise is real and is only going to get worse. Indeed, we make the case in our recent book, The Rising Sea, that governments and coastal managers should assume the inevitability of a seven-foot rise in sea level. This number is not a prediction. But we believe that seven feet is the most prudent, conservative long-term planning guideline for coastal cities and communities, especially for the siting of major infrastructure; a number of academic studies examining recent ice sheet dynamics have suggested that an increase of seven feet or more is not only possible, but likely. Certainly, no one should be expecting less than a three-foot rise in sea level this century. In the 20th century, sea level rise was primarily due to thermal expansion of ocean water. Contributions of melting mountain glaciers and the large ice sheets were minor components. But most climate scientists now believe that the main drivers of sea level rise in the 21st century will be the melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (a potential of a 16-foot rise if the entire sheet melts) and the Greenland Ice Sheet (a potential rise of 20 feet if the entire ice cap melts). The nature of the melting is non-linear and is difficult to predict. Seeking to correct the IPCC’s failure to come up with a comprehensive forecast for sea level increase, a number of state panels and government committees have produced sea level rise predictions that include an examination of melting ice sheets. For example, sea level rise panels in Rhode Island and Miami-Dade County have concluded that a minimum of a three- to five-foot sea level rise should be anticipated by 2100. A California report assumes a possible 4.6-foot rise by 2100, while the Dutch assume a 2.5-foot rise by 2050 in the design of their tidal gates. Given the growing consensus about the major sea level rise on the way in the coming century or two, the continued development of many low-lying coastal areas — including much of the U.S. east coast — is foolhardy and irresponsible. Who is at risk? Rising seas will be on the front lines of the battle against changing climate during the next century. Our great concern is that as the infrastructure of major cities in the industrialized world becomes threatened, there will be few resources left to address the dramatic impacts that will be facing the citizens of the developing world. The ramifications of a major sea level rise are massive. Agriculture will be disrupted, water supplies will be salinized, storms and flood waters will reach ever further inland, and millions of environmental refugees will be created — 15 million people live at or below three feet elevation in Bangladesh, for example. Governments, especially those in the developing world, will be disrupted, creating political instability. The most vulnerable of all coastal environments are deltas of major rivers, including the Mekong, Irrawaddy, Niger, Ganges-Brahmaputra, Nile, and Mississippi. Here, land subsidence will combine with global sea level rise to create very high rates of what is known as “local, relative sea level rise.” The rising seas will displace the vast majority of people in these delta regions. Adding insult to injury, in many parts of Asia the rice crop will be decimated by rising sea level — a three-foot sea level rise will eliminate half of the rice production in Vietnam — causing a food crisis coincident with the mass migration of people. The Mississippi Delta is unique because it lies within a country with the financial resources to fight land loss. Nevertheless, we believe multibillion-dollar engineering and restoration efforts designed to preserve communities on the Mississippi Delta are doomed to failure, given the magnitude of relative sea level rise expected. Former Secretary of the Interior Bruce Babbitt said in 2008 that it was an “ineluctable fact” that within the lifespan of some people alive today, “the vast majority of that land will be underwater.” He also faulted federal officials for not developing migration plans for area residents and for not having the “honesty and compassion” to tell Louisiana residents the “truth”: Someday, they will have to leave the delta. The city of New Orleans can probably be protected into the next century, but only at great expense and with little guarantee that future storms like hurricane Katrina will not inundate the city again. Pacific and Indian Ocean atoll nations are already being abandoned because of the direct and indirect effects of sea level rise, such as saltwater intrusion into groundwater. In the Marshall Islands, some crops are being grown in abandoned 55-gallon oil drums because the ground is now too salty for planting. New Zealand is accepting, on a gradual basis, all of the inhabitants of the Tuvalu atolls. Inhabitants of Carteret Atoll have all moved to Papua, New Guinea. The forward-looking government of the Maldives recently held a cabinet meeting underwater to highlight the ultimate fate of their small island nation. The world’s major coastal cities will undoubtedly receive most of the attention as sea level rise threatens infrastructure. Miami tops the list of most endangered cities in the world, as measured by the value of property that would be threatened by a three-foot rise. This would flood all of Miami Beach and leave downtown Miami sitting as an island of water, disconnected from the rest of Florida. Other threatened U.S. cities include New York/Newark, New Orleans, Boston, Washington, Philadelphia, Tampa-St Petersburg, and San Francisco. Osaka/Kobe, Tokyo, Rotterdam, Amsterdam, and Nagoya are among the most threatened major cities outside of North America. Preserving coastal cities will require huge public expenditures, leaving smaller coastal resort communities to fend for themselves. Manhattan, for example, is likely to beat out Nags Head, North Carolina for federal funds, a fact that recreational beach communities must recognize when planning a response to sea level rise. Twelve percent of the world’s open ocean shorelines are fronted by barrier islands, and a three-foot sea level rise will spell doom for development on most of them — save for those completely surrounded by massive seawalls. Impacts in the United States, with a 3,500-mile long barrier island shoreline extending from Montauk Point on Long Island to the Mexican border, will be huge. The only way to preserve the barrier islands themselves will be to abandon them so that they may respond naturally to rising sea level. Yet, most coastal states continue to allow massive, irresponsible development of the low-lying coast. Ironically, low-elevation Florida is probably the least prepared of all coastal states. Hundreds of miles of high rises line the state’s shoreline, and more are built every year. The state pours subsidies into coastal development through state-run insurance and funding for coastal protection. If a portion of those funds were spent adapting to sea level rise rather than ignoring it, Florida might be ready to meet the challenge of the next century. Let’s hope the state rises to the challenge. Despite the dire facts, the next century of rising sea level need not be an economic disaster. Thoughtful planning can lead to a measured retreat from vulnerable coastal lowlands. We recommend the following: Immediately prohibit the construction of high-rise buildings and major infrastructure in areas vulnerable to future sea level rise. Buildings placed in future hazardous zones should be small and movable — or disposable. Relocation of buildings and infrastructure should be a guiding philosophy. Instead of making major repairs on infrastructure such as bridges, water supply, and sewer and drainage systems, when major maintenance is needed, go the extra mile and place them out of reach of the sea. In our view, no new sewer and water lines should be introduced to zones that will be adversely affected by sea level rise in the next 50 years. Relocation of some beach buildings could be implemented after severe storms or with financial incentives. Stop government assistance for oceanfront rebuilding. The guarantee of recovery is perhaps the biggest obstacle to a sensible response to sea level rise. The goal in the past has always been to restore conditions to what they were before a storm or flood. In the United States, hurricanes have become urban renewal programs. The replacement houses become larger and larger and even more costly to replace again in the future. Those who invest in vulnerable coastal areas need to assume responsibility for that decision. If you stay, you pay. Get the Corps off the shore. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, more or less by default, is the government agency in charge of much of the planning and the funding for the nation’s response to sea level rise. It is an agency ill-suited to the job. Part of the problem is that the engineers’ “we can fix it” mentality is the wrong mindset for a sensible approach to responding to changing sea level. Local governments cannot be expected to take the lead. The problems created by sea level rise are international and national, not local, in scope. Local governments of coastal towns (understandably) follow the self-interests of coastal property owners and developers, so preservation of buildings and maintaining tax base is inevitably a very high priority. In addition, the resources needed to respond to sea level rise will be far beyond those available to local communities. Responding to long-term sea level rise will pose unprecedented challenges to the international community. Economic and humanitarian disasters can be avoided, but only through wise, forward-looking planning. Tough decisions will need to be made regarding the allocation of resources and response to natural disasters. Let us hope that our political leadership can provide the bold vision and strong leadership that will be required to implement a reasoned response. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Yale Environment 360 in Climate Change at 9:37 AM) Bracing for a Century of Rising Seas
As governments, businesses, and homeowners plan for the future, they should assume that the world’s oceans will rise by at least two meters — roughly seven feet — this century. But far too few agencies or individuals are preparing for the inevitable increase in sea level that will take place as polar ice sheets melt. by Rob Young and Orrin Pilkey The reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are balanced and comprehensive documents summarizing the impact of global warming on the planet. But they are not without imperfections, and one of the most notable was the analysis of future sea level rise contained in the latest report, issued in 2007. Given the complexities of forecasting how much the melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets will contribute to increases in global sea level, the IPCC chose not to include these giant ice masses in their calculations, thus ignoring what is likely to be the most important source of sea level rise in the 21st century. Arguing that too little was understood about ice sheet collapse to construct a mathematical model upon which even a rough estimate could be based, the IPCC came up with sea level predictions using thermal expansion of the oceans and melting of mountain glaciers outside the poles. Its results were predictably conservative — a maximum of a two-foot rise this century — and were even a foot lower than an earlier IPCC report that factored in some melting of Greenland’s ice sheet. The IPCC’s 2007 sea level calculations — widely recognized by the academic community as a critical flaw in the report — have caused confusion among many in the general public and the media and have created fodder for global warming skeptics. But there should be no confusion about the serious threat posed by rising sea levels, especially as evidence has mounted in the past two years of the accelerated pace of melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets. The message for the world’s leaders and decision makers is that sea level rise is real and is only going to get worse. Indeed, we make the case in our recent book, The Rising Sea, that governments and coastal managers should assume the inevitability of a seven-foot rise in sea level. This number is not a prediction. But we believe that seven feet is the most prudent, conservative long-term planning guideline for coastal cities and communities, especially for the siting of major infrastructure; a number of academic studies examining recent ice sheet dynamics have suggested that an increase of seven feet or more is not only possible, but likely. Certainly, no one should be expecting less than a three-foot rise in sea level this century. In the 20th century, sea level rise was primarily due to thermal expansion of ocean water. Contributions of melting mountain glaciers and the large ice sheets were minor components. But most climate scientists now believe that the main drivers of sea level rise in the 21st century will be the melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (a potential of a 16-foot rise if the entire sheet melts) and the Greenland Ice Sheet (a potential rise of 20 feet if the entire ice cap melts). The nature of the melting is non-linear and is difficult to predict. Seeking to correct the IPCC’s failure to come up with a comprehensive forecast for sea level increase, a number of state panels and government committees have produced sea level rise predictions that include an examination of melting ice sheets. For example, sea level rise panels in Rhode Island and Miami-Dade County have concluded that a minimum of a three- to five-foot sea level rise should be anticipated by 2100. A California report assumes a possible 4.6-foot rise by 2100, while the Dutch assume a 2.5-foot rise by 2050 in the design of their tidal gates. Given the growing consensus about the major sea level rise on the way in the coming century or two, the continued development of many low-lying coastal areas — including much of the U.S. east coast — is foolhardy and irresponsible. Who is at risk? Rising seas will be on the front lines of the battle against changing climate during the next century. Our great concern is that as the infrastructure of major cities in the industrialized world becomes threatened, there will be few resources left to address the dramatic impacts that will be facing the citizens of the developing world. The ramifications of a major sea level rise are massive. Agriculture will be disrupted, water supplies will be salinized, storms and flood waters will reach ever further inland, and millions of environmental refugees will be created — 15 million people live at or below three feet elevation in Bangladesh, for example. Governments, especially those in the developing world, will be disrupted, creating political instability. The most vulnerable of all coastal environments are deltas of major rivers, including the Mekong, Irrawaddy, Niger, Ganges-Brahmaputra, Nile, and Mississippi. Here, land subsidence will combine with global sea level rise to create very high rates of what is known as “local, relative sea level rise.” The rising seas will displace the vast majority of people in these delta regions. Adding insult to injury, in many parts of Asia the rice crop will be decimated by rising sea level — a three-foot sea level rise will eliminate half of the rice production in Vietnam — causing a food crisis coincident with the mass migration of people. The Mississippi Delta is unique because it lies within a country with the financial resources to fight land loss. Nevertheless, we believe multibillion-dollar engineering and restoration efforts designed to preserve communities on the Mississippi Delta are doomed to failure, given the magnitude of relative sea level rise expected. Former Secretary of the Interior Bruce Babbitt said in 2008 that it was an “ineluctable fact” that within the lifespan of some people alive today, “the vast majority of that land will be underwater.” He also faulted federal officials for not developing migration plans for area residents and for not having the “honesty and compassion” to tell Louisiana residents the “truth”: Someday, they will have to leave the delta. The city of New Orleans can probably be protected into the next century, but only at great expense and with little guarantee that future storms like hurricane Katrina will not inundate the city again. Pacific and Indian Ocean atoll nations are already being abandoned because of the direct and indirect effects of sea level rise, such as saltwater intrusion into groundwater. In the Marshall Islands, some crops are being grown in abandoned 55-gallon oil drums because the ground is now too salty for planting. New Zealand is accepting, on a gradual basis, all of the inhabitants of the Tuvalu atolls. Inhabitants of Carteret Atoll have all moved to Papua, New Guinea. The forward-looking government of the Maldives recently held a cabinet meeting underwater to highlight the ultimate fate of their small island nation. The world’s major coastal cities will undoubtedly receive most of the attention as sea level rise threatens infrastructure. Miami tops the list of most endangered cities in the world, as measured by the value of property that would be threatened by a three-foot rise. This would flood all of Miami Beach and leave downtown Miami sitting as an island of water, disconnected from the rest of Florida. Other threatened U.S. cities include New York/Newark, New Orleans, Boston, Washington, Philadelphia, Tampa-St Petersburg, and San Francisco. Osaka/Kobe, Tokyo, Rotterdam, Amsterdam, and Nagoya are among the most threatened major cities outside of North America. Preserving coastal cities will require huge public expenditures, leaving smaller coastal resort communities to fend for themselves. Manhattan, for example, is likely to beat out Nags Head, North Carolina for federal funds, a fact that recreational beach communities must recognize when planning a response to sea level rise. Twelve percent of the world’s open ocean shorelines are fronted by barrier islands, and a three-foot sea level rise will spell doom for development on most of them — save for those completely surrounded by massive seawalls. Impacts in the United States, with a 3,500-mile long barrier island shoreline extending from Montauk Point on Long Island to the Mexican border, will be huge. The only way to preserve the barrier islands themselves will be to abandon them so that they may respond naturally to rising sea level. Yet, most coastal states continue to allow massive, irresponsible development of the low-lying coast. Ironically, low-elevation Florida is probably the least prepared of all coastal states. Hundreds of miles of high rises line the state’s shoreline, and more are built every year. The state pours subsidies into coastal development through state-run insurance and funding for coastal protection. If a portion of those funds were spent adapting to sea level rise rather than ignoring it, Florida might be ready to meet the challenge of the next century. Let’s hope the state rises to the challenge. Despite the dire facts, the next century of rising sea level need not be an economic disaster. Thoughtful planning can lead to a measured retreat from vulnerable coastal lowlands. We recommend the following: Immediately prohibit the construction of high-rise buildings and major infrastructure in areas vulnerable to future sea level rise. Buildings placed in future hazardous zones should be small and movable — or disposable. Relocation of buildings and infrastructure should be a guiding philosophy. Instead of making major repairs on infrastructure such as bridges, water supply, and sewer and drainage systems, when major maintenance is needed, go the extra mile and place them out of reach of the sea. In our view, no new sewer and water lines should be introduced to zones that will be adversely affected by sea level rise in the next 50 years. Relocation of some beach buildings could be implemented after severe storms or with financial incentives. Stop government assistance for oceanfront rebuilding. The guarantee of recovery is perhaps the biggest obstacle to a sensible response to sea level rise. The goal in the past has always been to restore conditions to what they were before a storm or flood. In the United States, hurricanes have become urban renewal programs. The replacement houses become larger and larger and even more costly to replace again in the future. Those who invest in vulnerable coastal areas need to assume responsibility for that decision. If you stay, you pay. Get the Corps off the shore. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, more or less by default, is the government agency in charge of much of the planning and the funding for the nation’s response to sea level rise. It is an agency ill-suited to the job. Part of the problem is that the engineers’ “we can fix it” mentality is the wrong mindset for a sensible approach to responding to changing sea level. Local governments cannot be expected to take the lead. The problems created by sea level rise are international and national, not local, in scope. Local governments of coastal towns (understandably) follow the self-interests of coastal property owners and developers, so preservation of buildings and maintaining tax base is inevitably a very high priority. In addition, the resources needed to respond to sea level rise will be far beyond those available to local communities. Responding to long-term sea level rise will pose unprecedented challenges to the international community. Economic and humanitarian disasters can be avoided, but only through wise, forward-looking planning. Tough decisions will need to be made regarding the allocation of resources and response to natural disasters. Let us hope that our political leadership can provide the bold vision and strong leadership that will be required to implement a reasoned response. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Yale Environment 360 in Climate Change at 9:37 AM) How to Follow the Haitian Earthquake Online
A massive earthquake hit Haiti last night, with an epicentre only 15 kilometers from Port au Prince, the capital city. It will be some time before the extent of the devestation is known, but early reports suggest that thousands are likely to be reported dead. Major landmarks, including the Presidential Palace, National Assembly and Port au Prince cathedral have been destroyed. Haiti is the poorest nation in the Western hemisphere, and the damage from the earthquake will compound the massive challenges the country already faces. Reporters are racing to Haiti to report on the disaster, but voices are already making themselves heard from the decimated city. Georgia Popplewell, Global Voices’s managing director and pioneering Caribbean blogger, has been rounding up tweets coming from Haiti on our site. Some of the tweets include photos that show the intensity of the destruction.
Georgia has started a list on Twitter, aggregating accounts of people who are posting from Haiti. Pooja Bhatia is apparently posting from Port au Prince and reported last night, “quake happened as sun was setting but in plenty of time to see that all the slum houses built into the hillsides disappeared”. Her posts today have documented the devestation of various landmarks and people’s increasing concern about obtaining food and water. Other Twitter users are enroute to PAP and writing about their progress and setbacks in reaching the city. Troy Livesay, a missionary in Haiti, is writing long, informative blog posts as well as tweets. This morning’s post reveals the extent of uncertainty the island is feeling: There are buildings that suffered almost no damage. Right next door will be a pile of rubble. Thousands of people are currently trapped. To guess at a number would be like guessing at raindrops in the ocean. Precious lives hang in the balance. When pulled from the rubble there is no place to take them for care Haiti has an almost non existent medical care system for her people. I cannot imagine what the next few weeks and months will be like. I am afraid for everyone. Never in my life have I seen people stronger than Haitian people. But I am afraid for them. For us. Response to the tragedy has been rapid online. My twitter-scanning scripts estimate that 1.5-1.8% of tweets on Twitter this morning have mentioned Haiti – that’s much higher than mentions of “china” or “google”, refering to the major story breaking in technology news, Google’s decision to stop censoring search results in China. Much of the Twitter conversation centers on ways to help the Haitian people – in the US, texting “haiti” to 90999 donates $10 to the Red Cross to support Haitian relief efforts. Chris Sacca offers five more ways you can help, donating to other worthy organizations and learning more about relief efforts as well as about Haiti’s history and resilience. Jen Brea is tracking reactions from the Haitian diaspora and efforts to help, including the project organized by Haitian-American rap artist Wyclef Jean. We’ll be tracking the crisis and response in Haiti closely on Global Voices and expect to have a special coverage page up within an hour. Our thoughts and prayers are with everyone in Haiti and Haitians in the diaspora around the world. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Ethan Zuckerman in Philanthropy at 10:15 AM) New Energy Hubs: Transit-Oriented Development Meets District Energy
Advanced community design models are emerging to provide some of the greatest opportunities for reducing fossil fuel use, climate-disrupting emissions and traffic congestion, while also offering affordable, high-quality lifestyles. Envision living in a community that offers an abundance of local shopping, services and entertainment. The community is focused on a mobility center well connected to the region with transit and vanpools. The need to drive to work and other destinations is minimized. When you do drive, it is in an electric vehicle charged at your house or a fast charge station located in the mobility center park-and-ride. Coming from work you stop by a mobility center kiosk to pick up groceries and other items ordered on line. You come home to a super-efficient residence with a smart management system that has adjusted temperatures in anticipation of your arrival. Hot water that heats your home and comes out of your shower head is delivered from a local plant that uses both ground heat and biogas. Electricity that powers your home and charges your vehicle is generated at the plant and a neighborhood solar array mounted at the park-and-ride. Power is delivered by a smart grid that manages local power generation and sends any surplus around the city. The smart grid also communicates with buildings and electric vehicles to optimize grid operations, saving ratepayers on power costs. NEW ENERGY HUBS: BRINGING IT ALL TOGETHER This is a vision for a New Energy Hubs, a comprehensive community development model that meshes transit-oriented developments (TODs) with emerging energy technologies. Deploying advanced transportation and energy concepts in one geographically defined location provides synergistic benefits, making for the most effective use of energy and resources. TODs aim at reducing traffic and the need to drive single-occupant vehicles by concentrating housing, retail, services and employment in walkable communities with abundant public transportation. A related concept of clean mobility centers meshes transit park-and-rides with a range of other mobility and personal services including vanpools and car sharing. In energy a number of technology advances are coming to the fore at building and neighborhood scales. District energy systems that provide heating, cooling and electrical energy, operating in cities for generations, are being upgraded and expanded to realize efficiency opportunities. Distributed energy generation employing renewable resources such as solar, ground heat or wind power is spreading. Smart grids employing digital technology to optimize power generation, delivery and usage are being deployed. Smart grids are connecting with smart, green buildings designed to operate at high efficiency. Meanwhile electrified vehicles are emerging as a significant mass market option being vigorously pursued by every major auto manufacturer and a number of new companies. Park-and-rides are high on the list for early charging station installations. New energy technologies are synergistic with the transportation electrification. Local energy generation can charge vehicles. Making buildings more efficient frees electricity to charge vehicles, in terms of overall power grid capacity and in ability to deliver power in locally constrained networks. Smart grid communications capabilities regulate vehicle charging times to reduce peak load stress and optimize use of renewable resources. Ultimately, vehicle batteries could store renewable energy and feed it back to the grid. Energy storage makes renewable energy available when the wind is not blowing or the sun not shining. This improves renewable energy economics. The energy stored in park-and-rides full of electric vehicles might even feed back to the transit network. Both Bay Area Rapid Transit and DC Metro have studied the potential for parked fleets to provide acceleration energy to electrified rail lines. Meanwhile, power infrastructure to propel new lines might also supply fast charging for electric vehicles, an application that requires power lines with high capacity. THINKING HOLISTICALLY ABOUT INFRASTRUCTURE Installing advanced new energy technologies while building transit-oriented developments will yield multiple efficiencies. TODs entail construction of dense neighborhoods. Compact communities are ideally served by district plant and piping systems supplying hot water and building heat. Economies of scale make district systems significantly more energy efficient that single building systems. District energy plants can also cogenerate electricity, and be powered with renewable fuels such as biomass or ground heat. Other renewable electrical generators are also more economically installed at a district scale – It costs less to install one large solar array to serve a neighborhood than solar panels on individual buildings. District-scale cogeneration and solar arrays might serve electric vehicle charging stations as well. When new construction is underway is the economically optimal time to install new energy networks including district energy, smart grid and vehicle charging. Infrastructure costs less when it is built in a coordinated way, doing as much as possible at once. For example, when streets are excavated to install water and sewer lines, also put in place should be pipes to channel district heat and cooling. When new power grids are installed, they should be infused with smart, digital technologies capable of communicating with buildings and vehicles. New grids should also be set up to transmit locally generated electricity between buildings, and ship surplus local generation to the larger grid. A primary goal of TODs is to reduce sprawl and transportation energy use. It naturally follows that new residences and other buildings in the development should be built to high efficiency standards that reduce overall energy consumption. New buildings should also be smart-grid capable, with metering and energy management systems capable of communicating with the grid, and include vehicle charging plugs as well. MESHING NEW DEVELOPMENT WITH RETROFITS New Energy Hubs are not only about new construction, but also about energy and transportation improvements that extend to surrounding neighborhoods. Since the goal is to concentrate population growth in discrete centers, it is beneficial to target the older building fleet surrounding new development for comprehensive energy retrofits. The aim should be to capture deep efficiency potentials while adding smart grid and vehicle charging capabilities. Doing as many building improvements as possible at once cuts costs, as does giving retrofit efforts a geographic focus. For example, the same crews might be working in adjacent buildings at once, installing smart meters and charging plugs along with insulation and better windows. Cost efficiencies of coordination also go for larger infrastructure projects. For example, when new smart grid networks are going in to new construction, the same crews and contractors can also upgrade grids in the nearby area. Connecting a larger number of power users to the smart grid has other benefits. The greater the numbers of customers in a neighborhood who can adjust their power demands, the less utilities have to spend on peak load infrastructure serving the neighborhood. That helps control power costs and bills. The same logic applies to district energy. When crews are installing district energy networks to new construction, they can be deployed to extend them to nearby neighborhoods. The greater the number of buildings that can be served on a system, the more economically they can be served. ECONOMIC AND ENERGY OPPORTUNITIES Building build New Energy Hubs creates novel marketing potentials. Large segments of the public are increasingly concerned about issues surrounding energy, from climate change to reliance on oil imports from unfriendly nations. New Energy Hubs offer the most immediate prospects for people to dramatically reduce or even eliminate their personal fossil fuel consumption. They possess immense potential to attract the large and growing market for climate-friendly and energy-smart lifestyles. Regions that lead in developing New Energy Hubs also will generate new jobs and jobs-rich sectors. Experience gained in designing and developing New Energy Hubs, in assembling the needed supplier and contractor networks, will translate into projects around the world. New markets will be created for local and regional clean tech companies in a wide range of sectors including renewable energy, smart grids, advanced buildings and electrified transport. A region that develops a series of such hubs will also enhance its overall green profile, an advantage for attracting clean tech companies and creative individuals. New Energy Hubs answer crucial needs to reduce congestion and manage urban growth, cut down on fossil fuel use and air pollution, and grow new technologies, companies and jobs. Now is the moment to merge advanced transportation and energy concepts into a unified strategy for community development that will shape much of the future growth pattern of metropolitan areas. The New Energy Hub is an idea whose time has come. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Patrick Mazza in Energy at 4:51 PM) Deep Walkability
Several pieces of Net flotsam today (local columnist Danny Westneat's clueless call for more parking lots around Seattle's new light rail stations; a NYT article on findings that walkable density appears to increase property values and buffer against real estate crashes), got me pondering again the nature of "walkability." Walkability is clearly critical to bright green cities. You can't advocate for car-free or car-sharing lives if people need cars to get around, and the enticement to walk is key to making density wonderful, to providing realistic transit options, to making smaller greener homes compelling and to growing the kind of digitally-suffused walksheds that post-ownership ideas seem to demand. So knowing how to define "walkable" is important. That said, I'm skeptical of most measurements of walkability. Though I'm a fan of efforts like WalkScore, I think it's important to acknowledge their very real limitations. WalkScore, for instance, is a measurement not of walkability but proximity. If we're going to make decisions based on algorithms, we'd better make sure we're using the right formula. The big thing I think falls out of most walkability formulas is a quality critical to the actual experience of walkability, and that's the extent to which the place in which you live is connected (by walking routes and easy transit) to other places worth walking to. Unfortunately, in North America many great neighborhoods are islands of comparative pedestrian friendliness in seas of sprawl and pedestrian hostility. They may offer a lot of services close by -- you may be able to walk to buy a quart of milk or drink a cup of coffee in the cafe -- but going anywhere else involves a choice of long walks through forbidding surroundings and along dangerous streets or unhappy waits for inconvenient and underfunded transit. To live in such a neighborhood is to understand the full impact of a half century of planning and public investment that treated a person walking as at best an afterthought, and very often as an inconvenience to cars that ought to be discouraged. No matter how great the cafes, sidewalks and street trees are in these 'hoods, they are not actually truly walkable because unless you want to feel like a prisoner trapped within their boundaries, you still must own a car. The true test of walkability I think is this: Can you spend a pleasant half hour walking or on transit and end up at a variety of great places? The quality of having a feast of options available when you walk out your front door is what I'm starting to think of as "deep walkability." It's this deep walkability that ought to be the top priority driving urban design and development in our communities. We ought to be looking at how to knit our walkable communities together and how to make friendlier the unwalkable streets between them. In most cities, serious walkers (and bikers) share stories about the routes they've taken, hidden paths through the fractured landscape that let you walk safely and happily from one people-centered place to another. A killer urban ap would be one that revealed these urban songlines. A smart urban policy would be one that aimed to weave new walking routes through the whole urban fabric, until places walkers feared to tread were the exception rather than the expectation. Basically, that would mean redevelopment and curative street design, which in turn often means making a conscious choice to slow down car traffic, to convert road lanes to train rails or bike trails, and to disincentivize parking and auto-oriented development in favor of sidewalk-focused density and transit-oriented development. I think we need to recognize that the idea we can "balance" cars and sidewalk life is a dangerous illusion. The only way to make pedestrians and bikers safe and welcome is to slow cars down, to make it clear that the place through which they're driving is one in which they need to pay attention, and, whenever possible, to get those cars off the streets and out of way of trains, bus, bikes and strollers. Assert the primacy of people enjoying the act of walking, and density begins to become community, transit begins to become an essential amenity rather than a safety net, and life begins to orient around experiences and access rather than accumulation and convenience. The act of walking is, I think more and more, at the very foundation of every other bright green possibility. A place that embraces deep walkability could almost be considered the very definition of a great city. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Steffen in Urban Design and Planning at 5:31 PM) Bright Green Action as Economic Development Strategy
Throughout much of the developed world, but especially in North America, the debate about sustainability is routinely framed as a trade-off between the environment and the economy. The problem is, no such trade-off exists. Certainly, there are big industries (like coal, oil, manufacture of cheap disposable consumer goods, fast food franchises, auto manufacturing) that will take a big hit as we move into a low-energy, low-carbon, zero-waste future. Many people will lose their jobs, and places that remain deeply committed to those industries are in for decades of suffering. But here's the blunt reality: those industries, jobs and places are toast already. They are the walking dead. Nothing we do, on any scale or at any sacrifice, will save them, even in the medium term -- and the more money we spend trying, the worse off our economies as a whole will be. The old economy is dead. Of course, those with money invested in that economy have been doing everything they can -- spending many billions on lobbying, propaganda campaigns and political bribes -- to convince us that they are the economy, and that anything that hurts them will damage the prosperity of the rest of us (and that therefore we should continue spending vast sums of our taxes subsidizing their industries, protecting their supply lines abroad and paying the environmental and health burdens their business models saddle us with... not to mention the catastrophes they're leaving our children). If we could filter their propaganda and influence out of our public debate for a day, we'd have a series of national epiphanies: our economic futures are not dependent on these guys, and the quicker we leave these industries behind, the better of we are; in fact, bright green action's not only not a hit to competitiveness, it's the new definition of competitive advantage. By slashing emissions, developing clean energy, investing in bright green cities, changing agriculture, spurring design and technological innovation and embracing new models of prosperity, we don't just meet our ethical obligations not to destroy the ecological foundations of civilization; we also create the kind of economy that is clearly going to lead the way in the 21st century. Many people understand already that by doing these things, we save money directly, because energy and materials are expensive, and (all other things being equal) using less of them to generate more economic activity is profitable: money spent making greener profits is not a cost, it's an investment. If you extend your planning horizon out even a few years, a large percentage of the changes we want to see make us money. This is particularly true in talking about big system shifts, like rebuilding auto-dependent communities and investing in clean energy. Much of what we want to do already makes more economic sense, if all the costs are counted (and harmful subsidies eliminated) and the planning time frame is reasonable. Many other things, though are not yet directly profitable. Especially where we're pushing the boundaries of the possible, there's a cost to the learning curve. Fewer people yet understand that cost is also an investment, because the knowledge you gain in the process is worth money. Lots of money. In fact, the knowledge gained in being a bold, aggressive first-mover in bright green innovation is itself the industry of the future. The working knowledge of transformational technologies, designs and practices is the economic reward for moving boldly into a bright green future. The speed with which they move is almost certainly going to determine which businesses and regions are globally competitive in coming decades. In fact, I'm convinced that a regional government sufficiently free of old industry influence would see what seems like us today as an astonishing pace of transformation as the best economic development strategy there is. Raising building codes and design standards to the best known level (and then continuing to raise them, ensuring that local architects, builders, engineers and designers are on the cutting edge of their fields); doing everything possible to encourage dense and walkable urbanism and the development of new walkshed technologies and product-service models (and working to actively revoke subsidies for auto-dependence, from parking to free roads to externalized costs for health and environmental damage); moving now towards zero-waste policies with hefty penalties for products that can't be safely disassembled and recycled; investments in watershed and foodshed management and ecosystem service preservation designed to both secure sustainable access to the essentials of life and promote working insight into better farming, forestry and restoration practices -- the list goes on and on, but the point is the same: all of these things look radical and unrealistic when seen through the filter of the status quo, but are in fact the kinds of actions that will create vibrant, competitive, prosperous places over the next decade. There's no trade-off here. The old industries are dead and drain taxpayer money while harming people and the planet. Every dollar spent supporting them is a dollar burned. The new industries will be found in the process of building a new way of life that offers greater prosperity and health, while protecting the planet for future generations. One path offers us prosperity now and a livable future, the other drains our economic vitality and leaves us with a crippled planet. There's no comparison. Radical bright green action is smart economic development strategy. Help us change the world - DONATE NOW! (Posted by Alex Steffen in Bright Green Economy at 12:00 PM) |
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